1.50 The ground after a deluge of rain is heavy for day 3 & it can be a minefield for punting when the ground is as bad as this , so tread carefully with your won selections. Perfuse has won on heavy , it was a small field novice with not a lot in behind, but the 2nd that day has at least won since. He has since run well enough in a Royal Ascot handicap ( form nothing special so far ). Plenty will hang their hat on the heavy ground win but I am not sure he is that well handicapped. Garden Route comes from a family that would prefer top of the ground , so I am not keen on his chances. Have Secret has some solid enough handicap form , but is handicapped about right. Crack Shot at a price might be well enough handicapped to make an impression on handicap debut for connections that like a winner at this meeting. Lots of if’s and but’s not a race I wish to get involved with bet wise
2.25 Both Vandeek & Sketch come into this 1 from 1 & it’s not hard to see why they are heading the market , but this is going to be very hard work for these 2 year olds & its not a race to bet in on this ground
3.00 Espionage is the right favourite on ratings & he looks the one to beat on form too, given he handles the ground. Chesspiece has the ground as a question mark & while Desert Hero has a heavy ground win to his name it was as a 1/7 fav in a race beating trees , but the win a debut looks solid enough on soft & he gave his royal owners a great win at the royal meeting. It’s a tricky little puzzle and the markets are about right , so no bet
3.35 On paper this looks a contest between the French raider Blue Rose Cen who has won all but 2 of her 9 lifetime starts. She seemed to be even better stepped up to this 10f last time out & put away her rivals that day in very good style. The second big challenger is Nashwa she has some solid form in graded races & on ratings she is second best in , she was however turned over by Above The Curve earlier this year and it’s hard to understand why she is 9’4 & Above The Curve is 11’1. But they all have to give weight to the French Filly and that will be a big ask. Advised Bet Blue Rose Cen 2pt win @ evens William Hill