Saturday 7th October

Newmarket 1.30 I can certainly see the case for Whispering Words being to the fore of the this market , but at 5’2 she is far from that solid form wise and I think its more based on connections , so not one for me at all as there are plenty of dangers. Totnes is is a very admiral type , but the handicapper has got hold of her now . Lady Boba & Red Danielle are the other unexposed types that have strong possibilities. I do think Lady Alara is an interesting one , but I am not that sure she will stay distance. A tough opening race at I am not going to invest in this one

Ascot 1.50 A Listed contest full of mainly horses just below group level and struggling to find races that fit nicely for them. on official ratings Emaraaty Ana stands out , but she is far from straight forward either pulling hard or not finding much off the bridle. The rest are much of a muchness and its not a race I want to get involved with at all

Newmarket 2.05 One horse dominates the field despite the field size and that one is Zoulu Chief. he has very good gate speed and is replicating any of the last two runs would win this with ease. Of the others Dubai Hills should do better now back at 6f & it will be interesting to see if the newcomer Elderflower attracts any money. The short priced fav should win but at evens in such a big field its not worth bothering with

Ascot 2.25 Al Aasy was given a poor ride at Leopardstown when asked to make up far too much ground , his chances are obvious in this. But there are dangers, chief among them Israr who can be forgiven a poor run on the all-weather last time out ( first ever run on the surface ) . He beat a heavy odds on Adayar at Newmarket the time before and on that form would take the beating. Al Qareem is worth a mention , but has seemed better suited to soft ground. Advised Bet Israr 1pt win @ 4’1 William Hill

Redcar 2.45 Another one horse market despite a decent sized field with Dragon Leader who looks to have this for the taking if in decent form. Of the rest Action Point makes a little appeal dropping back in grade. Just a race to watch for me

Ascot 3.00 A Group race in name contested by mainly decent handicappers looking for some decent money. On ratings there is not much between them all. Dark Trooper loves the track 2 from 2 , Annaf has just fallen short in Group company before but this looks a decent opportunity on his form but he does seem to go better on soft ground & 5f & its not that ! Commanche Falls is a tough type who generally gives his running. Not a race I can get excited about or want a bet in

Newmarket 3.15 Inspiral heads the market heads the market and on form she has every chance , but she is a well renowned tricky customer & taking odds on about her is not a game I would be interested in. The French raider Mqse De Sevigne is just behind Inspiral on official ratings but it’s hard to see why that is the case on form for all that she is very consistent. The rest are making up the numbers somewhat. A race to swerve given the nature of the favourites foibles

Ascot 3.35 Finally a race to get stuck into with a big field and a competitive market. This could be determined by the draw and the two I like in the high numbers are Fresh & Baradar. Fresh does need a bit of luck in running given the run style but he has been unlucky with the draws previously but has dropped on big time in this race and the handicap mark is very appealing. Baradar has been a revelation for the new connections 3 – 6 and is the form choice. Advised Bet Fresh 1pt ew @ 5’1 firms offering 5 places & Baradar 3/4 pt ew @ 15’2 firms offering 5 places